Is nuclear war inevitable?

Vladimir Putin warns of a possible nuclear war

Ken Follett suddenly appears on the computer screen, as if he were the genie of the lamp. He wears an unbuttoned gray shirt and smilingly waves from a warm living room, with wooden furniture and a library in the background, in his country house south of Stevenage, in the English county of Hertfordshire. There could be a fireplace and he would look like a leader about to deliver his Christmas speech.

He particularly enjoyed building the character of Kiah, “a very intelligent and brave woman, we follow her from the moment she leaves her village in Africa until she arrives at what we see as normal places, a discotheque, a clothes store, but which have a huge impact on her, she doesn’t believe what she sees, she is perplexed by this kind of thing. It is something that happens to millions of people who leave Africa to come to Europe, I was interested in reflecting that look of astonishment, the clash of realities”.

I write alone on the middle screen. On the left is the story plan. On the right, I write notes about the characters, I’ll show it to you, see? These are the characters and their faces. Wow, you have them drawn? “Always, well, they’re photos or drawings I find from the Internet, actors’ faces sometimes, but I need to see faces that remind me what kind of character I’ve made up.”

Read more  Who is responsible for implementing financial sanctions in the UK?

China vs. the U.S.: a conflict that may be worse than the

3Once war has begun, no other line of demarcation is as immediately clear, as sanctified by convention, as ratified by emotion, as low on the scale of violence, and-perhaps most important of all-as easily defined and understood as the line between using and not using nuclear weapons…. Although the distinction between a nuclear war and a non-nuclear war has its flaws, from a technical point of view, it has a functional significance or utility that transcends any merely technical issue.

8 Second, it would have been extremely difficult to distinguish between tactical and strategic weapons. The American Pershing II, for example, has a range of 1,800 km-enough to reach targets within the western boundary of the Soviet Union-while the Soviet SS-12, with a trajectory of 900 km, could have reached targets in southeastern England or eastern France from launch points east of the Elbe. France, the Soviet Union and the United Kingdom would have considered such strikes as strategic. There was therefore – possibly and even inevitably – a real danger that the party launching nuclear weapons would have been able to classify them as tactical, in that they would have led to an irremediable global nuclear war.

Pyongyang accuses U.S. of hatching an inevitable war

Most people live with minimal thought about the consequences or likelihood of nuclear war.    The consequences are generally understood to be catastrophic. Perhaps because of this there is a tendency to believe that the likelihood of nuclear war is extremely low. But is this really the case, and should people feel safe from nuclear war based only on the perception that it is unlikely to occur?

Read more  How many Arrt rules of ethics are there?

I asked several people working for nuclear disarmament, all of them associates of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, for their views on the likelihood of nuclear war.

I then asked John Avery, associate professor of quantum chemistry at the University of Copenhagen, for his view of the likelihood of nuclear war at the end of the 21st century. He replied:

“I’m not sure if I can provide any kind of numerical value or calculation for estimating the risk of nuclear war in a given time period.    But I would certainly say that unless human beings manage to eliminate nuclear arsenals, and probably the very institution of war itself, I think it is inevitable that nuclear weapons will be used long before the end of the century. There are too many weapons in too many places/countries . . . I think there are about 15,000 nuclear weapons, right? …. And there are too many conflicts and injustices and power-hungry people who have access to and control over these weapons. There are too many possibilities for miscalculation, technological failures, and just plain irrational behavior to imagine that we can continue indefinitely to avoid using nuclear weapons in conflict.

ALARM US vs. North Korea, on the Brink of Conflict

You are here / Home / World / Nuclear war with U.S. is inevitable, North Korea warnsRead: 2 minutes “The question that remains to be asked is: When will war break out?” said North Korea’s Foreign Ministry spokesman on Wednesday night.

Tensions between North Korea and the United States have once again reached a previously unseen peak after the Pyongyang regime warned this week that a nuclear war on the Korean peninsula is “inevitable.”

Read more  What triggers an HMRC investigation?

Yesterday, a North Korean foreign ministry spokesman said that joint military exercises by the U.S. and South Korean militaries, coupled with insistent U.S. threats of a preemptive war have made the outbreak of a nuclear conflict “an established fact”.

“The question that remains to be asked is: When will war break out?” the North Korean Foreign Ministry spokesman said Wednesday night in a statement released by the official KCNA news agency.